Thursday, May 28, 2009

News Update

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The FTSE currently indicates a very weak opening, as the world prepares for the bankruptcy filing of GM. With no economic data out of UK this morning traders will be paying close attention to the unemployment figures from Germany. The FTSE is likely to spend all day in the red.

Oil is down in early trade after Saudi Arabias oil minister said OPEC doesn't need to cut output and U.S. stocks slumped because of concern higher borrowing costs and the expected chapter 11 filing by GM. There is a risk that oil prices will test the 65 dollars per barrel mark by the end of the week.



Source: BetOnMarkets.com


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Sunday, May 24, 2009

Analisa Saham Indoensia: BKSL, ADRO dan ADHI

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Saham Indonesia: BKSLSaham Indonesia: BKSL


Saham Indonesia: ADROSaham Indonesia: ADRO


Saham Indonesia: ADHISaham Indonesia: ADHI









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Saturday, May 23, 2009

Sell INCO !!!

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Saham Indonesia INCOAnalisa Saham INCO







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Friday, May 22, 2009

Analisa Saham Indonesia: ASGR

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Saham ASGR Saham Indonesia: ASGR






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Thursday, May 21, 2009

Cautious Assessment Reduces Visibility into Economic Recovery

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Kondisi Indeks DJI (Kamis/21 Mei 2009, 10:21 am) saat berita ini diposting.

Market Summary
The major U.S. index futures are pointing to a lower opening on Thursday. Just when the markets were becoming complacent about a recovery in the making, the Fed’s skepticism relayed through the minutes of the April FOMC meeting came as a rude shock. Adding fuel to the fire, the news about the downgrade of U.K.’s rating by S&P spread panic among traders, resulting in a large scale sell-off in the European markets. Earlier in the day, the Asian averages also closed on a weak note, as traders in the region sifted through and digested the FOMC minutes.

Jobs data continues to be downbeat, with a Labor Department report released earlier showing a smaller than expected decline in the first time claims for unemployment benefits. Continuing claims surged to another record high, accentuating the weakness in the job market. Sentiment over the course of the session may also hinge on the manufacturing survey results of the Philadelphia Fed and the Conference Board’s leading indicators index, scheduled to be released shortly after the markets open, as traders look for clarity on the economic outlook.

U.S. stocks, which opened Wednesday’s session higher and saw incremental gains in early trading on the back of the commodity rally, surrendered much of their gains by early afternoon trading and dipped momentarily below the unchanged lined, coinciding with the release of the minutes of the April FOMC meeting. Although some buying interest emerged thereafter, the gains could not be sustained, with the major averages dipped back sharply below the unchanged line in late trading.

The Dow Industrials ended down 52.81 points or 0.62% at 8,422, the S&P 500 Index receded 4.66 points or 0.51% at 904 and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 6.70 points or 0.51% to 1,728.

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) retreated 5.22% in reaction to the bleak outlook issued by the company, while Home Depot (HD), JP Morgan Chase (JPM) and American Express (AXP) lost more than 3% each. Alcoa (AA), Citigroup (C) and AT&T (T) moved down about 2% each. On the other hand, General Motors (GM) rallied 14.17%, while Bank of America (BAC0 rose in excess of 2% following its announcement that it has raised $13.47 billion in a public offering. McDonald’s (MCD) was up 4.42%.

Among the sector indexes, the KBW Bank Index fell 2.81% and the Philadelphia Housing Index moved down 2.71%, while the S&P Retail Index and the Dow Jones Utility Average fell over 1.5% each. However, the Amex Gold Bugs Index rallied 5.18%, while Hewlett-Packard’s dismal results weighed on the Amex Computer Hardware Index, which fell 3.28%.

In response to the recent moves on Wall Street, Marc Pado from Cantor Fitzgerald said that the consolidation trend we have been witnessing will likely continue, as pessimism continues to fade. The CBOE Volatility Index closed below the 30 level for the second straight day, which reinforces the idea of a slow and steady recovery. Typically, a trading range of 10-30 for the index signals bullish market conditions. On the upside, the index has resistance around 33.

On the economic front, the minutes of the April FOMC meeting revealed that the members of the Federal Reserve’s policy-setting body seem to concur that the pace of decline in some components of final demand has slowed, with consumer spending firming up in the first quarter and housing activity leveling off in February and March.

On the flip side, businesses continued to trim production and employment market continued to deteriorate. Headline and core consumer prices were up moderately in the first three months of the year.

The Fed updated its forecast of growth, inflation and unemployment rate, with the central tendency growth forecast for 2009 pitched at a 1.3% to a 2% GDP decline compared to its earlier estimate for a mere 0.5% to 1.3% contraction. The central bank also nudged up its unemployment rate forecast for 2009 to 9.2%-9.6% from 8.5%-8.8%. The Fed also toned down its growth estimate for 2010 to 2%-3% rate compared to 2.5%-3.3% growth it estimated in January, while it expects an unemployment rate of 9%-9.5% for 2010 versus its January projection of 8%-8.3%. The longer-run forecasts were left unchanged.

The downgrade came despite the Fed noting that conditions have improved in the inter-meeting period. Some economists believe that the tempered outlook is due to a contraction in credit creation, as commercial bank credit contracted both in March and April.

Analyzing the minutes, Barclays commented that the Fed seemed to have decided to wait till the June meeting to assess the impact of the asset purchase and decide if additional action needs to be taken.

Dikutip dari ADVFN Newsdesk for Saham Indonesia.







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Tuesday, May 19, 2009

WOW...IHSG naik 4,5%

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Hari ini Indeks Bursa Saham Indonesia (IHSG) mencatat kenaikan yang fantastis.

Indeks_JKSE-19 Mei 2009

IHSG (19 Mei 2009)

Didukung oleh saham-saham di sektor Aneka Industri (7,71%), sektor Finance (6,55%) serta di sektor Mining (5,17%).
Berikut... berita terkait penutupan Indeks Regional Asia-Pasific hari Selasa ini seperti yang dikutip dari ADVFN Newsdesk.

The stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region ended in positive territory on Tuesday, following a strong closing on Wall Street, where the major indices rallied on hopes about the housing market. The weakening of the domestic currencies and a rally in commodity prices also supported sentiment.

The benchmark Nikkei 225 Index added 251.60 points or 2.80% to 9,290 and the broader Topix Index of all First Section Issues advanced 20.05 points or 2.30% to 877. In economic news from Japan, a revised report from Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry revealed today that industrial production rose 1.6% in March from the previous month following a 9.4% decline in February. The ministry confirmed the initial estimate for March. Year-on-year, production plunged 34.2% in March.

The major gainer in the market was Asahi Glass, which rose more than 9% following a revision in its rating by Daiwa Securities. The brokerage raised the stock to "buy" from "neutral".

In the banking sector, Mitsubishi UFJ, Japan's biggest bank, gained 4.22% ahead of the announcement of its financial results after market closed. The bank reported a net loss of 256.65 billion yen for fiscal year 2008 compared to a net profit of 636.62 billion yen reported last year. The net loss was in line with bank's expectation but came in wider than analysts' estimate. Oil-related stocks ended in positive territory on higher crude oil prices.

In Sydney, the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index gained 81.7 points or 2.17% to close at 3,817 and the broad-based All-Ordinaries Index advanced 79.3 points, or 2.13% to close at 3,801.

Mining stocks advanced on higher copper prices in the international market. Index leader BHP Billiton advanced 2.92% and its rival, Rio Tinto gained 4.28%. Banking, retail and energy stocks also advanced, while gold stocks saw mixed sentiment.

In Hong Kong, the benchmark Hang Seng Index opened sharply higher on Wall Street cues and ended 3.06% or 521.02 points higher at 17,544. Financial, China-related and resource stocks led the gains on positive cues from Wall Street and higher crude oil and copper prices.

HSBC Holdings surged up 6.30% and Bank of East Asia advanced 5.59% in reaction to reports that the two banks were granted approval by the Chinese regulators to sell Yuan bonds in Hong Kong. Other major banks such as Bank of China, Hang Seng Bank, Bank of Communications, ICBC and BOC Hong Kong also ended in positive territory.

Among china-related stocks, China Unicom advanced 2.83%, China Mobile added 2.56%, China Resources soared 7.90%, and China Shinhua rose 4.18%.

Resource stocks also advanced on higher copper and oil prices. CNOOC, China's largest offshore oil producer, gained 5.43%, and PetroChina increased 4.97% on higher crude oil prices in the international market. Aluminum Corp. of China, or CHALCO, surged up 7.59%

The benchmark KOSPI Index in South Korea advanced 2.99% or 41.53 points to close at 1,428, led by financials and auto stocks.

Financials advanced on optimism about stability in financial sector. KB Financial Group surged up 6.22%, Woori Finance gained 3.88%, and Shinhan Financial rose 3.98%. In the auto space, Hyundai Motor gained 4.05%, Kia Motor advanced 3.05%, and Ssangyong Motor surged 5.38%.

Technology stocks also ended in positive territory. Hynix Semiconductor surged up 8.58%, LG Display gained 3.29%, and LG Electronics advanced 4.59%. Market heavyweight Samsung Electronics ended higher by 2.52%.

Among the other major markets, China's Shanghai Composite Index gained 23.90 points, or 0.90% to 2,677, Indonesia's Jakarta Composite Index advanced 4.57% or 82.45 points to 1,886, Singapore's Strait Times Index added 83.38 points, or 3.83% to 2,260, and Taiwan's Weighted Index advanced 77.78 points, or 1.18% to 6,656.






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Perhatikan saham di sektor Industri Dasar dan Consumer

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Penutupan perdagangan Indeks DJI, Nasdaq dan S&P500 pada Senin, 18 Mei 2009 kemarin naik secara signifikan yakni DJI naik 2,85% atau +235.44 poin menjadi 8.504,08 sedangkan NASDAQ naik sebesar 52,22 poin (3,11%) di level 1.732,36, S&P 500 naik 3,04% menjadi 909,71 serta FTSE 100 naik 2,26% menjadi 4.446,45.
Sementara JKSE kemarin juga naik sebesar 3,01% menjadi 1.803,57

Saham pilihan hari ini (Selasa, 19 Mei 2009)...

Sektor Industri Dasar:
Pattern = Long White Candle Breaks Resistance
Previous Trend = Side Ways

Saham INTP, SMCB, INKP dan BRPT kemungkinannya hari ini akan berlanjut menguat

Sektor Consumer:
Pattern = Long White Candle Breaks Resistance
Previous Trend = Side Ways

Saham-saham yang ada di sektor ini: GGRM, INDF yang kemungkinannya hari berlanjut naik.


Happy trading....





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Thursday, May 14, 2009

Analisa Saham ASRI

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Saham Indonesia: ASRI Saham Indonesia: ASRI










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Akan Berlanjutkah Aksi Profit Taking hari Kamis ini?

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IHSG pada perdagangan kemarin (Rabu, 12 Mei 2009) menguat sebesar 0,51% di level 1,851.33. Sektor perdagangan yang menahan laju penurunan indeks lebih lanjut yakni naik sebesar 3,55% di level 201,71.
Support - resistance untuk perdagangan hari ini (Kamis, 13 Mei 2009) berkisar di 1.832,67 - 1.870,67.

Sementara Dow Jones pada penutupan perdagangan kemarin turun sebesar 2,18% di level 8,284.89. Dan Nikkei pagi ini (Kamis, 13 Mei 2009) jam 9:10 PM ET sudah turun sebesar 2,29%.

Berikut berita yang kami kutip dari ADVFN Newsdesk...

Asian stocks closed mixed on Wednesday ahead of the release of some key data, including the U.S and Chinese retail sales for April. While bargain hunting on signs of an early recovery by the global economy helped many markets end higher, investors pared their long positions at higher levels following unfavorable cues from Wall Street overnight.

The Japanese market closed modestly higher, as hopes of an early economic recovery more than offset negative sentiment on account of a stronger yen. The benchmark Nikkei 225 index closed at 9,340, up 42 points or 0.45% and the broader Topix index of All First Section issues on the Tokyo Stock Exchanged rose 3 points or 0.4% to 889.

Automakers and exporters closed weaker after the Japanese yen rose to around the 96-yen level against the dollar. Tech exports also came under selling pressure.

Olympus, the world's top endoscope manufacturer, soared 12.83% after the company unexpectedly forecast a return to profit this year. Pioneer Corp. fell 3.43%, while Nikon Corp. rose 2.85% and Shinsei Bank closed flat ahead of the announcement of their fiscal 2008 earnings after the closing bell Wednesday.

Citizen Holdings jumped 9.15% after the company forecast a return to profit this business year. Electronics maker Hitachi tumbled 10.76% on a prediction for a loss that was more than double what analysts had estimated. Shipping stock Mitsui O.S.K. Lines tumbled 4.33% after Nomura Holdings Inc. cut its rating on the stock to "neutral" from "buy."

In economic news, the Economy Watchers Survey released by the Cabinet Office showed that the Japanese current and outlook indices improved further in April. The current index that measures existing economic conditions rose to 34.2 in April from 28.4 in the previous month. The indicator came in above the expected level of 30. At the same time, the outlook index moved up to 39.7 from March's 35.8.

The Australian market closed lower, as investors digested Tuesday's federal budget. The benchmark S&P/ASX200 index closed at 3,856, down 21 points or 0.54% and the broader All Ordinaries index fell 21 points or 0.55% to 3,842.

Retailer Harvey Norman fell 2.81%, JB Hi Fi slipped 0.23% and Woolworths closed down 0.97%, as investors see a lot less stimulus from the government next year. However, David Jones rose 0.52% and Wesfarmers, which owns Coles, edged up 0.39%.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia rose 0.38% even as it cut its final dividend for the six months ending in June by 25%. National Australia Bank slipped 0.64%, ANZ declined 1.63% and investment bank Macquarie Group tumbled 3.07%, but Westpac Banking rose 1.08%.

Big-miner Rio Tinto tumbled 4.72% after its American depositary shares plunged 8.4% overnight. According to reports, the company may drop an investment deal with Aluminum Corp. of China for a 5 billion pound ($10 billion) share sale. Iluka Resources also ended down 2.07%, but BHP Billiton rose 0.35%.

Oil and gas producer Santos plunged 8.29% after it raised A$1.75 billion ($1.3 billion) in the "heavily oversubscribed" institutional portion of its A$3 billion share sale. Woodside Petroleum edged up 0.18%, while Oil Search closed down 0.76%.

The South Korean market closed higher on bargain hunting following a loss in the previous session. The benchmark KOSPI closed at 1,415, up 11 points or 0.78%. Volume was significant at 705.97 million shares worth 6.93 trillion won (US$5.56 billion) and advancers outnumbered decliners by 538 to 300.

Shipbuilder Daewoo Shipbuilding closed down 1.63% despite reporting a 23% rise in its first-quarter net earnings. Hyundai Heavy Industries slipped 0.2% and Samsung Heavy Industries fell 2.42%

Technology stocks closed mostly lower. Hynix Semiconductor tumbled 4.12%, LG Electronics fell 3.86% and market heavyweight Samsung Electronics closed down 0.18%, but LG Display LCD ended up 0.96%

Banking stocks closed mixed. Woori Finance declined 1.36% and Korea Exchange Bank closed down 0.35%, but KB Financial, the holding firm of Kookmin Bank moved up 1.94%. Automaker Kia Motors slipped 0.41%, Hyundai Motor closed down 0.46% and Ssangyong Motor slumped 5%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index ignored a weak start and moved into positive territory by late morning trading. The index attempted to hold its gains, although unsuccessfully, as it receded in late afternoon trading to close down 94.02 points or 0.55% at 17,060.

HSBC Holdings, CCB and China Unicom led the declines, posting losses in excess of 3%. Mainland bank and insurance stocks also saw weakness. China Mobile ended unchanged, while property and resource stocks gained ground in the session.

Among the other markets in the region, China's Shanghai Composite index rose 1.74%, Singapore's STI Straits Times index gained 0.33% and Taiwan's TWII Weighed index added 0.82%. India’s benchmark, the Sensex closed down 138.38 points or 1.14% at 12,020.







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Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Indeks Bursa Saham Indonesia (IHSG) ngikut...?

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Berikut perbandingan pergerakan Indeks STI, HSI, JKSE, DJI dan N255 yang diambil dari finance.yahoo.com

Compare Indeks

Coba perhatikan gambar diatas. Indeks bursa saham Indonesia (IHSG) ngikut mana ya? fikir












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Sunday, May 10, 2009

Masih Adakah yang Berani Mengkoleksi TMPI?

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Analisa Saham TMPI...

Analisa Saham Indonesia: TMPI

Saham lainnya...

Analisa Saham BRPT...

Analisa Saham Indonesia:BRPT


Analisa Saham BLTA...

Analisa Saham Indonesia:BLTA







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Analisa SahamTrio Macan (ANTM, TINS dan INCO)

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Analisa Saham ANTM...

Analisa Saham Indonesia: ANTM


Analisa Saham TINS...

Analisa Saham Indonesia: TINS


Analisa Saham INCO...

Analisa Saham Indonesia: INCO





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Thursday, May 07, 2009

Ayo!!! Koleksi saham ANTM dan UNSP

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celebrate
Pergerakan Indeks Regional pada Kamis (07/05) pagi ini:



Sementara Dow Indeks pada penutupan Rabu kemarin juga naik 101,63 point (1,21%) di level 8.512,28.

Rekomendasi hari ini (Kamis,7 Mei)...
Saham ANTM :
Pattern = Long White Candle
Previous Trend = Up
Rekomendasi = Tunggu harga penutupan diatas 1.650 untuk konfirmasi Buy


Saham UNSP:
Pattern = Long White Candle
Previous Trend = Up
Rekomendasi = Tunggu harga penutupan diatas 630 untuk konfirmasi Buy





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Tuesday, May 05, 2009

IHSG Mantap Uiy....

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Akankah Indeks bursa saham Indonesia hari ini berlanjut dijalur hijau mengikuti kenaikan Dow Jones Senin kemarin...?

Sementara...
Pasar saham regional seperti Thailand, Korea dan Jepang libur nasional bahkan Jepang libur hingga Rabu mendatang.

Sementara...
Minyak dunia naik hingga di level US$ 54,47 per barel.

Sementara...
Pengumuman BI Rate yg diprediksi akan memangkas suku bunga BI Rate 0,25% menjadi 7,25% setelah terjadi deflasi di bulan April sebesar 0,31%.


Happy trading...






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Saturday, May 02, 2009

Sektor Perbankan dan Pertanian Angkat Indeks Saham Indonesia di Akhir Pekan

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Indeks saham Indonesia pada akhir pekan ini (01/05) ditutup menguat tipis sebesar 0,40% atau sebesar 6,82 poin ke level 1.730. Meskipun tipis, indeks saham Indonesia mampu menembus level 1.700 bahkan mampu mencatatkan kenaikan selama sepekan sebesar 8,69% dari harga pembukaan 1.591 diawal pekan ini.
Kenaikan ini sekaligus menepis anggapan bahwa Indeks saham Indonesia akan melemah menyusul adanya gangguan flu babi.

Sementara sentimen positif yang mampu mengangkat indeks bursa saham adalah dirilisnya data inflasi bulan april 2009 oleh BPS sebesar 7,31% YoY jauh dibawah ekspektasi analis sebesar 7,6% YoY dan penguatan harga CPO di bursa Malaysia, sehingga saham-saham di sektor perbankan dan agri yang diuntungkan dengan berita positif ini. Sektor perbankan diantaranya yakni saham BBCA naik 3,37% menjadi 3.475, saham BBRI naik 1,72% menjadi 5.900 sementara sektor AGRI diantaranya adalah AALI naik 8,86% menjadi 17.200, saham LSIP naik 2,54% menjadi 5.050.
Namun perlu juga diwaspadai bahwa pergerakan indeks untuk pekan depan akan dipengaruhi oleh pengumuman BI tentang BI rate. Ekspetasi para analis adalah akan terjadi penurunan BI rate menyusul berita deflasi bulan April 2009.
Akankah sektor perbankan kembali sebagai leader untuk mengangkat indeks bursa pekan depan? Mari kita lihat.
Secara teknikal kisaran support - resistance IHSG pekan depan adalah 1.686,67 - 1.760,67


Belajar analisa saham dari Saham Indonesia kali ini akan mengetengahkan saham-saham yang perlu diamati yakni:

Saham BMRI:

Pattern = Long White Candle
Previous Trend = Up
Prediksi Next Trend = Up
Rekomendasi = Tunggu harga penutupan diatas 2.850 untuk konfirmasi Buy


Saham SULI:

Pattern = Long White Candle
Previous Trend = Up
Volume = dibawah rata-rata VolEMA(5)
Rekomendasi = Tunggu harga penutupan diatas 510 untuk konfirmasi Buy.


Saham CPIN:

Pattern = Long White Candle Breaks Resistance
Previous Trend = Side Ways
Volume = diatas rata-rata VolEMA(5)
Rekomendasi = Tunggu harga penutupan diatas 510 untuk konfirmasi Buy


Saham BRPT:

Pattern = Long White Candle Breaks Resistance
Previous Trend = Side Ways
Volume = diatas rata-rata VolEMA(5)
Rekomendasi = Tunggu harga penutupan diatas 710 untuk konfirmasi Buy








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